Meta-analysis of 33 semaglutide RCTs (21,023 participants) characterizing the proportion achieving suboptimal therapeutic responses and treatment discontinuation rates due to adverse events. Quantifies the 'non-responder' population across indications (T2DM, obesity, CKD) and identifies patient characteristics associated with inadequate response. Provides clinically essential data on the expected failure rate of semaglutide therapy—enabling realistic patient counseling about response expectations and informing clinical trial design for next-generation agents targeting semaglutide non-responders.
Abstract
Semaglutide has emerged as a leading therapy for metabolic disorders, with robust evidence supporting its role in treating obesity and type 2 diabetes while reducing cardiovascular and renal risks. However, limited data exist on the proportion of patients who have suboptimal therapeutic responses or discontinue treatment due to adverse events. We present an analysis including 33 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comprising 21,023 participants. Across included trials of patients with and without type 2 diabetes, 33.4% and 65.1% of participants did not achieve ≥5% or ≥10% total body weight reduction, respectively. Stratified analyses demonstrated higher rates of suboptimal outcomes among individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), with up to 79.8% not achieving ≥10% weight loss, compared to 30.1% among individuals without T2DM. While semaglutide is effective in many patients, a substantial subset of patients has suboptimal weight or glycemic improvements or discontinues therapy. This study was registered with PROSPERO (CRD420251086132).
Authors
Ko, Donghyun; Kim, Do Han; Tan, Faith Xin Ning; Ho, Glenn Jun Kit; Chandra, Rubhan; Xuan, Zhang Zi; Jun, Ethan Tham Kai; Tang, Nicole Shu Ying; Yang, Hee Seung; Koh, Jeffery Wei Heng; Danpanichkul, Pojsakorn; Dalakoti, Mayank; Syn, Nicholas L; Wijarnpreecha, Karn; Takahashi, Hirokazu; Zheng, Ming-Hua; Nakajima, Atsushi; Noureddin, Mazen; Muthiah, Mark; Le Roux, Carel W; Siddiqui, Mohammad Shadab; Ng, Cheng Han