Plain Language Summary
Updated meta-analysis and network meta-analysis of SGLT2 inhibitors, incretin-based therapies (GLP-1 RAs and tirzepatide), and finerenone for cardiorenal outcomes (MACE, kidney disease progression, HF hospitalization, death) across established and emerging indication populations. Incorporates trials through April 2025. Provides the most current comparative ranking of the three leading cardiorenal drug classes—establishing whether tirzepatide's GIP/GLP-1 dual agonism achieves superior, equivalent, or inferior cardiorenal protection versus SGLT2 inhibitors and finerenone, informing combination therapy decisions in T2DM with cardiovascular or kidney disease.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Several societies recommend sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i), glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA), and finerenone for cardiorenal risk reduction in select populations. This updated meta-analysis assessed the impact of SGLT2i, incretin-based therapies (i.e. GLP-1RAs and tirzepatide), and finerenone on cardiorenal outcomes in established and emerging populations. Additionally, a network meta-analysis (NMA) compared the relative efficacy between treatment classes.
METHODS: A systematic search of MEDLINE and CENTRAL from January 2023 to April 2025, supplemented by studies evaluated in our prior meta-analyses, identified 33 randomized controlled trials. Random-effects models were used to generate hazard ratios for outcomes including cardiovascular (CV) mortality, all-cause mortality, heart failure (HF) hospitalization/event, non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), non-fatal stroke, and kidney composite outcomes in various subpopulations including patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) or high CV risk, chronic kidney disease (CKD), HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), HFpEF with obesity, post-MI, acute HF, and ASCVD with overweight/obesity without T2D. NMA was performed when two or more treatment classes were reported for a given outcome within a subpopulation.
RESULTS: Incretin-based therapies decreased CV mortality, all-cause mortality, non-fatal MI, and kidney composite outcomes in CKD, and reduced these outcomes as well as HF hospitalization/events and non-fatal stroke in T2D with ASCVD/high CV risk. In HFpEF with obesity, incretin-based therapies reduced HF hospitalization/events. SGLT2i reduced CV mortality, all-cause mortality, HF hospitalization/events, and kidney composite outcomes in HFrEF, and reduced these outcomes as well as non-fatal MI in CKD and T2D with ASCVD/high CV risk. SGLT2i decreased HF hospitalization/events in HFpEF, and lowered HF hospitalizations in post-MI and acute HF populations. Finerenone reduced HF hospitalizations and kidney composite outcomes in diabetic CKD and reduced HF hospitalizations in HFpEF. Using placebo as the common comparator in the NMA, SGLT2i conferred significantly greater reductions in HF hospitalization/events and kidney composite outcomes compared to incretin-based therapies in T2D with ASCVD/high CV risk and CKD.
CONCLUSIONS: These findings confirm the role of SGLT2i, incretin-based therapies, and finerenone in cardiorenal risk reduction across established high-risk groups, including T2D and CKD, and extend benefits to newer populations, including acute HF and post-MI for SGLT2i, and HFpEF with obesity for incretin-based therapies. Indirect NMA evidence further suggests SGLT2i may reduce HF hospitalization/events and kidney composite outcomes more than incretin-based therapies in T2D with ASCVD/high CV risk and CKD populations.
GRAPHICAL ABSTRACT: [Image: see text]
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40842-025-00248-2.
Authors
Shokravi, Arveen; Seth, Jayant; Lu, Nelson; Mancini, G B John